Tom Archer wrote:As an avid follower of the auction scene in the UK, I don't see any marked trend in port prices other than a rather greater degree of fluctuation this year.
Bordeaux prices however are pretty much in freefall at the moment, with some London sales this year seeing most lots go unsold. I have also noticed that the enthusiasm for investing in new releases, so evident a couple of years back, has effectively vanished.
My impression is that port tends to lag Bordeaux, and that if the Bordeaux prices continue their decline, there may well be some contagion over the coming months.
Possibly....though i don't think that port has seen anything like the rise in prices that Bdx has since 2005 - even accounting for the mini-slump in 2009 (the proceeds of buying and selling 08 first growths have pretty much funded my port cellar....!)
In that respects, Bdx is simply returning from the bubble to a more "natural" price at which the many wine lovers around the world can (just about) afford to buy it for drinking....rather than speculators buying to sell later.
Personally, i'd be surprised if we see <90 VP fall below what it currently is to any significant degree (i do not think the same for 00 and 03 VPs, which i'd expect to decrease in price and see available to purchase very cheaply over the next 5-10 years). However, i'm still buying all the 1966/1970 i can get my hands on at reasonable price....will last our lifetimes and i'd be very surprised if prices don't go the way of 63 and ultimately 55, 45,35 etc...