Re: Did you like the question for the Port trade this month?
Posted: Sat Jul 07, 2012 5:09 pm
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Forum for Port, Madeira & Portuguese Wines
https://www.fortheloveofport.com/ftlopforum/
https://www.fortheloveofport.com/ftlopforum/viewtopic.php?t=14764
Do we?Roy Hersh wrote:I agree about the Krohn's and got the same impression when considering the Scion, which admittedly, I tasted quite awhile back. Anyway, that chapter is over. Glad we now know the truth.[cheers.gif
I still maintain that it is impossible for anyone to be certain that any wood-aged port from the mid-19th century contains only one vintage. Where real hard evidence exists from the source there can of course be an element of confidence in such a claim, but it can never be certain - especially where such evidence is completely absent from a period of half a century or more of the wine's life.Derek T. wrote:Adrian Bridge wrote:We cannot say that the wine was not topped up as it is logical that the wines could have been to reduce the ullage. This is a normal process and records may not always be kept. However, we can be fairly certain that the wine was not refreshed – younger Port placed in it – as this would show up on the technical analysis of the residues.Adrian,Adrian Bridge wrote:Again the tests will give you an idea about a wine but are not printed in a hand book as a set of scales so that a particular total acid level coupled with residual sugars and other residues will tell you the exact age. Remember we are dealing with a wine that comes from a different harvest each year, ages in different climatic conditions ( even in the same lodge) as each year is different. This is why the tests carried out could not be used to prove an exact year but a general sense of age.
These two statements seem to be somewhat contradictory. Is it not possible that small amounts of new wine could have entered these casks during the first 50 years (which would have been normal then) but the other variables conspire to convince the analysts that this is a wine from an era consistent with the documentary evidence? That being so, how can anyone be certain that this wine was never refreshed?
That's the thing about conspiracy theories. They never go away because the conspiracy theorists can never be satisfied, and in fact seem to have a vested interest in never being satisfied.Derek T. wrote:Do we?Roy Hersh wrote:I agree about the Krohn's and got the same impression when considering the Scion, which admittedly, I tasted quite awhile back. Anyway, that chapter is over. Glad we now know the truth.![]()
I still maintain that it is impossible for anyone to be certain that any wood-aged port from the mid-19th century contains only one vintage. Where real hard evidence exists from the source there can of course be an element of confidence in such a claim, but it can never be certain - especially where such evidence is completely absent from a period of half a century or more of the wine's life.Derek T. wrote:Adrian Bridge wrote:We cannot say that the wine was not topped up as it is logical that the wines could have been to reduce the ullage. This is a normal process and records may not always be kept. However, we can be fairly certain that the wine was not refreshed – younger Port placed in it – as this would show up on the technical analysis of the residues.Adrian,Adrian Bridge wrote:Again the tests will give you an idea about a wine but are not printed in a hand book as a set of scales so that a particular total acid level coupled with residual sugars and other residues will tell you the exact age. Remember we are dealing with a wine that comes from a different harvest each year, ages in different climatic conditions ( even in the same lodge) as each year is different. This is why the tests carried out could not be used to prove an exact year but a general sense of age.
These two statements seem to be somewhat contradictory. Is it not possible that small amounts of new wine could have entered these casks during the first 50 years (which would have been normal then) but the other variables conspire to convince the analysts that this is a wine from an era consistent with the documentary evidence? That being so, how can anyone be certain that this wine was never refreshed?
At no time have I stated, implied or inferred that there is any sort of conspiracy going on here. What I am challenging is the strength of the statements being made about Scion or any other ancient tawny port about being "certain" that they have never been refreshed. That isn't an accusation of conspiring to falsely represent the product, it is merely pointing out that the irrefutable evidence that would be required to back-up such statements of certainty simply does not exist, or at least has not been presented here.Glenn E. wrote:That's the thing about conspiracy theories. They never go away because the conspiracy theorists can never be satisfied, and in fact seem to have a vested interest in never being satisfied.![]()
I don't believe he is. He stated that now we know the truth, which we do. And in this case, the truth is that Adrian is "fairly certain" of Scion's provenance.Derek T. wrote:However, Roy is expressing statements of absolute certainty and "truth" which are not backed-up by irrefutable evidence. That, I believe, is misleading and over-stating the point.
If you're going to keep insisting on absolute certainty about what was in those Scion casks, you're obviously going to have to accept disappointment because none of us sat by those casks 24 hours a day prior to bottling -- I think the rest of us have accepted that implicitly. I don't know that Roy ever mentioned being "absolutely certain" about anything here, so it is your own paraphrase of his words that is misleading and overstating the point. In any case, for Roy to state that he is satisfied Scion was not refreshed, after exercising his own intelligence and experience, examining available evidence, and listening to the corroborating analysis by the experts at TFP, seems perfectly reasonable and intellectually honest on his part. And for him to regard this as the settled "truth," inasmuch as we understand how knowable the truth can ever be in this case, is equally reasonable and intellectually honest.Derek T wrote: However, Roy is expressing statements of absolute certainty and "truth" which are not backed-up by irrefutable evidence. That, I believe, is misleading and over-stating the point.
Derek
hmmm....Glenn E. wrote:I don't believe he is. He stated that now we know the truth, which we do. And in this case, the truth is that Adrian is "fairly certain" of Scion's provenance.Derek T. wrote:However, Roy is expressing statements of absolute certainty and "truth" which are not backed-up by irrefutable evidence. That, I believe, is misleading and over-stating the point.
I don't see anywhere that Roy has stated that we're absolutely certain that Scion was never refreshed (or at least I don't remember having seen it if I have). He has simply questioned the methodologies and motives of the doubters, saying that they really haven't provided any proof that it has been refreshed.
In any event, what Roy said is somewhat of a side argument. In terms of SCION itself, Adrian's information about evaporation was interesting, and is not something i had previously appreciated (for instance, see how Oscar Quevedo describes things on the Quevedo blog).[url=http://fortheloveofport.com/roys-blog/the-truth-about-taylor-s-scion]Here[/url], Roy wrote wrote:Some questioned the veracity of whether Scion was actually from 1855. Others called its authenticity into question based on nothing more than mistaken evaporation-curve-math, misconceptions of Douro bake and storage conditions in old cellars there, including wildly inaccurate assumptions based on misunderstanding how/when/why Ports are topped off or refreshed. One conspiracy theorist went far out on a limb, to link the timing of the release of Scion to the needs for funding of The Yeatman Hotel. To make a long story short: the "naysayers" were having a field day, albeit, badly misinformed.
Fortunately, Adrian Bridge stepped in to correct such myths and fallacious guess work that aroseand we now have a very clear and fact-based picture providing the truth about Taylor's Scion.
Roy has said it was never refreshed with a younger Port. But as we know it's impossible to know for sure. Historically, as Derek pointed out, pipes were topped up/refreshed with younger Ports as well as the same year. Oscar made it quite clear, there is no law that prohibits the topping up of barrels using a younger vintage. As it is allowed and still done today.Rob C. wrote:hmmm....Glenn E. wrote:I don't believe he is. He stated that now we know the truth, which we do. And in this case, the truth is that Adrian is "fairly certain" of Scion's provenance.Derek T. wrote:However, Roy is expressing statements of absolute certainty and "truth" which are not backed-up by irrefutable evidence. That, I believe, is misleading and over-stating the point.
I don't see anywhere that Roy has stated that we're absolutely certain that Scion was never refreshed (or at least I don't remember having seen it if I have). He has simply questioned the methodologies and motives of the doubters, saying that they really haven't provided any proof that it has been refreshed.
In any event, what Roy said is somewhat of a side argument. In terms of SCION itself, Adrian's information about evaporation was interesting, and is not something i had previously appreciated (for instance, see how Oscar Quevedo describes things on the Quevedo blog).[url=http://fortheloveofport.com/roys-blog/the-truth-about-taylor-s-scion]Here[/url], Roy wrote wrote:Some questioned the veracity of whether Scion was actually from 1855. Others called its authenticity into question based on nothing more than mistaken evaporation-curve-math, misconceptions of Douro bake and storage conditions in old cellars there, including wildly inaccurate assumptions based on misunderstanding how/when/why Ports are topped off or refreshed. One conspiracy theorist went far out on a limb, to link the timing of the release of Scion to the needs for funding of The Yeatman Hotel. To make a long story short: the "naysayers" were having a field day, albeit, badly misinformed.
Fortunately, Adrian Bridge stepped in to correct such myths and fallacious guess work that aroseand we now have a very clear and fact-based picture providing the truth about Taylor's Scion.
Even so, Adrian's statements do make me clamour for further detail on evaporation rates - particularly as i had previously understood, to take one example, that DALVA were still experiencing significant evaporation on their 1952 golden white even after 60 years in cask. It would also be interesting, for instance, to know observed evaporation rates of the C19 Krohn ports mentioned (or other C19 / early C20 colheitas) - presumably they must also now be down to near-0% evaporation rates?
As discussed the 1855 Scion can not be 100% proven beyond the point at which we have been left by Adrian Bridge. However, Krohn's 19th century Colheitas have been in that locked cellar at the Lodge under the ownership's watch and it WAS clearly stated and explained by the current owner that it was "NEVER topped off with younger wine." That was what my mention of "NEVER," Andy ... and for the record, I have heard producers use the term "refreshed" in differentiating the use of a younger wine when topping off, (Oscar Q. being just one of them). That took place on our very first tour to Quevedo.I still maintain that it is impossible for anyone to be certain that any wood-aged port from the mid-19th century contains only one vintage.
Roy Hersh wrote:it is ok to agree to disagree.
I hope you didn't take my comment about conspiracy theories as a personal attack, as it was most definitely not intended as one. If you did take it as such, I apologize and hope that you will forgive me.Derek T. wrote:Provided these discussions remain civil and don't include veiled or overt personal attacks
Adrian did say that evaporation would drop to a "very low level" so try this (I'm not equipped to do it myself at the moment):Julian D. A. Wiseman wrote:Let’s do the maths differently. Assume that it evaporated 4% a year for 20 years, then 2% a year for 20 years, then 1% a year thereafter.
With drinking 9 litres a year, starting with 6654 results in 1100. With zero drinking over one and a half centuries, 3306 litres.Glenn E. wrote:3% for 20 years, then 1% for another 20 years, then 0.25% for the remainder.